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Montréal 2026 Men's Road Race Preview: Who Wins Without Pogačar

Montréal 2026 Men's Road Race Preview: Who Wins Without Pogačar

Summary

  • 273.7 km from Brossard, 3,803 m of climbing and 12 laps of the 13.4 km Mont Royal circuit on Sunday 27 September, per the UCI.
  • Tadej Pogačar is not racing. He crashed on stage 8 of the Vuelta a España with a collarbone fracture, a stable C7 fracture and a concussion, and UAE ended his season on 5 September.
  • Remco Evenepoel won GP Québec on 11 September and the Worlds time trial on 20 September. Isaac del Toro beat Paul Seixas on the Worlds circuit at GP Montréal two days after Québec.
  • Mathieu van der Poel rode 175 km alone to win the final stage of the Tour de Luxembourg on 20 September, his eighth win of the year.
  • Italy brings eight riders led by Giulio Ciccone, with the 19-year-old Under-23 world champion Lorenzo Finn making his elite debut.

The course: 12 passes of Mont Royal

The race leaves Quartier DIX30 in Brossard and spends its first 112.4 km crossing the Montérégie before it reaches the city. The UCI lists 273.7 km and 3,803 m of climbing, and about 269 m of that comes on each of the 12 laps. The circuit adds up to more than 3,200 m on its own.

It is the loop the Grand Prix Cycliste de Montréal has used since 2022, with four rises per lap. Camillien-Houde is 2.3 km at 6.2 per cent on the organiser's numbers; the GP Montréal route data gives its steeper core as 1.8 km at 8 per cent. Then come the Côte de la Polytechnique, 780 m at 6 per cent with ramps above 11, and the Pagnuelo kicker, 534 m at 7.5 per cent. The finish on Avenue du Parc is 560 m of false flat at 4 per cent.

None of it is long, and that is the point. Nobody gets dropped on Camillien-Houde at kilometre 150. Riders get dropped on the twelfth pass, after six and a half hours, when the repeated accelerations have emptied the legs. Montréal hosted the first Worlds outside Europe in 1974 and Eddy Merckx won on the same mountain.

What the circuit rewards

The GP Montréal roll of honour since the Pagnuelo climb was added reads Pogačar, Adam Yates, Pogačar, Brandon McNulty, del Toro. Climbers and puncheurs who can finish alone or from a group of five. No sprinter has come close.

That leaves two ways to win. A long attack from a rider strong enough to stay away, which is how Pogačar won Kigali in 2025 by 1'28" over Evenepoel. Or a reduced-group finish on Avenue du Parc, which is how del Toro beat Seixas on 13 September, coming off the wheel with about 200 m to go.

ProCyclingUK expects Evenepoel to try the first route from 40 to 50 km out, because in a group he would face faster finishers. The rest of the field has to decide whether to chase him or gamble that the circuit brings him back.

The favourites and their form

Rider Nation Recent form Trade-team bike
Remco Evenepoel Belgium Won GP Québec 11 Sep, 5th GP Montréal, Worlds TT gold 20 Sep. Silver in Kigali 2025 Specialized Tarmac SL9 (Red Bull-Bora-Hansgrohe)
Isaac del Toro Mexico Won GP Montréal 13 Sep, his 12th win of 2026. 7th in the Worlds TT Colnago Y1Rs or V5Rs (UAE Team Emirates XRG)
Mathieu van der Poel Netherlands Two stages at the Tour de Luxembourg, the last one a 175 km solo. 30th at the MTB Worlds Canyon Aeroad CFR (Alpecin-Premier Tech)
Wout van Aert Belgium Two Vuelta stages (Loja, Córdoba), green jersey and combativity award Cervélo S5 (Visma Lease a Bike)
Tom Pidcock Great Britain 4th Québec, 6th Montréal, MTB world champion on 30 August Pinarello Dogma F (Pinarello-Q36.5)
Paul Seixas France 2nd GP Montréal, Worlds TT bronze at 19 Van Rysel RCR-F or RCR-R (Decathlon CMA CGM)

Belgium has the problem every other nation would like: two leaders. Evenepoel's Québec win came from a three-man move he drove himself, then a sprint he opened from the front with 75 m to go. Van Aert gives Belgium a second card if that move is chased down, and he arrives from three weeks of racing rather than a training camp.

Del Toro is the rider who has already won on this finish. Without Pogačar he leads UAE's interests as well as Mexico's, and Cyclingnews called him the rainbow favourite after Montréal. His seventh place in the time trial, 1'44" behind Evenepoel, says the engine is there.

Van der Poel skipped Canada. His preparation was a mountain bike Worlds that went badly, then Luxembourg, where his solo held more than three minutes on a chasing peloton inside the last 30 km. Cyclinguptodate rates him for his reliability after six hours, and the irregular pacing of this circuit suits him better than a steady climb would.

Pidcock is back on Pinarello for 2026 after Q36.5 changed bike sponsor, and he has Oscar Onley and Adam Yates behind him. Slovenia lines up eight riders led by Primož Roglič and Matej Mohorič. Spain has Juan Ayuso and Enric Mas, who won the Vuelta. The USA brings McNulty, third in Montréal and the 2025 winner there, alongside Quinn Simmons.

Italy: eight riders, no single leader

Marco Villa's squad is Alberto Bettiol, Mattia Cattaneo, Giulio Ciccone, Lorenzo Finn, Giulio Pellizzari, Davide Piganzoli, Christian Scaroni and Matteo Trentin. Ciccone is the obvious leader: second to Evenepoel in Québec, seventh in Montréal, sixth in Kigali last year. Piganzoli won the Tour de Luxembourg overall on 20 September. Bettiol won stage 13 of the Giro in May and was in the decisive moves in Québec.

Pellizzari skipped the Vuelta to arrive fresh, and won the Giro di Toscana in September. He told Domestique that "everyone thinks they are Pogačar. But there is only one Pogačar", and expects the race to explode early. He also said he will work for whoever is strongest. Finn, 19, won the Giro Next Gen and the Tour de l'Avenir this year on top of his Under-23 rainbow jersey. He is here to learn, but a 273 km race of attrition is where a rider with his climbing can surprise.

The bikes, briefly

Worlds is national jerseys on trade-team bikes. We have already gone through who rides what in our Montréal bikes rundown. The short version: Evenepoel's Red Bull-Bora-Hansgrohe moved to the Tarmac SL9 mid-season, and del Toro has the Colnago Y1Rs and the lighter V5Rs to choose from. Van der Poel is on the Canyon Aeroad CFR and Van Aert on the Cervélo S5.

Every one of those is an aero all-rounder rather than a pure climbing frame, and the reasoning is in our guide to what the punchy Montréal circuit asks of a bike. The time trial on 20 September, Evenepoel's fourth title and Ganna's third silver, was a different discipline on different machines.

What it means if you are buying

If you like the idea of racing what you watched on Sunday, two things are worth knowing. Winners' bikes get expensive on the open market in the week after a rainbow jersey, so deciding before the race is calmer than deciding after it. And the frames on this startlist already exist as Pro-Owned bikes with real race history rather than retail paint.

The team bikes from WorldTour squads on Bikeroom come from the service courses, sizes permitting. The Colnago Y1Rs collection covers the frame UAE has leaned on all season. The Specialized Tarmac SL9 is the newest frame on the list, so pre-owned examples are still few and the SL8 remains the value option.

If you are unsure whether a team-issue aero frame is the right choice for the climbs you actually ride, talk to our concierge.

Sources: UCI, courses of the 2026 Road Worlds; ProCyclingUK, men's road race preview, 16 September 2026; Cyclingnews, GP Québec report, 11 September 2026; Tour Magazin, GP Montréal report, 13 September 2026; Cyclingnews, Pogačar to miss rest of 2026, 5 September 2026; Domestique, team-by-team guide, 16 September 2026; Domestique, Pellizzari interview, 18 September 2026; Domestique, Tour de Luxembourg stage 5, 20 September 2026; Cyclingnews, Van der Poel at the MTB Worlds; Cyclinguptodate, men's preview; Wikipedia, Grand Prix Cycliste de Montréal; Wikipedia, 1974 UCI Road World Championships; BikeRadar, Evenepoel's Tarmac SL9; Cyclingnews, Pinarello joins Q36.5. Cover photo: Miguel Tremblay, CC0 1.0, via Wikimedia Commons.

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